To try and deal with all this crazy monkey talk
I would propose a small examination into what would happen given a large but finite amount of monkeys. As much as I would like to answer the question about infinite monkeys
, I can't imagine
an infinite amount of monkey's, let alone figure out what to do with all that monkey shit.
So let's hypothesize for a moment. We don't want to try for the entire play of Hamlet just yet, lets just go for the phrase "To be or not to be". Count up the letters and spaces and we get 18 characters.
# of chars = 18
Perhaps it may be possible to sequester a million monkeys, that is a lot, but we are prepared to make a commitment here.
Monkeys = 106
To go with our million monkeys we have a million 47 key typewriters. 10 keys are punctuation, 10 keys are numbers, 26 keys are letters, and 1 key is a space.
# of keys = 47
Let us also assume that we have specially trained monkeys, they only hit random keys and they type a startling 10 characters per second. If we have 18 characters we can give the monkeys a little extra time every now and then and assume that they type all 18 characters (or one attempt) every 2 seconds.
Single attempt = 2 seconds
Okay so we have basic counting
principles tell us that the total number of possible outcomes for hitting one key is 47. If you're hitting two keys its 47 * 47. For 18 key presses we have 4718
. Make sense so far?
# of key combinations
If you are rolling a 6 sided die, you assume that it will take 6 rolls to (almost assuredly) get any particular number you would like. So we will likewise assume that it will take the full 4718 tries to type out Shakespeare's most famous line.
Recal that it takes 2 seconds for one try at typing the line.
# of key combinations * seconds per attempt = time to complete
4718 * 2 = 2.5 * 1030 seconds
Time to complete = 2.5 * 1030 seconds
Okay, don't forget that there are a million monkeys trying this, so divide that time number by a million.
Time to complete / # of monkeys = time to complete for a million monkeys.
2.5 * 1030 / 16 = 2.5 * 1024 seconds.
Seconds is not very useful, so lets convert to years. There are 31,557,600 seconds in a year (assuming 365.25 days in a year). So we divide again to get years.
2.5 * 1024 / 31,557,600 = 7.9 * 1016 years.
The rough age of the universe, (according to the NASA WMAP project1) is estimated to be approximately 13.7 3billion years.
7.9 * 1016 / 13.79 = 4.64 * 106ages of the universe.
So what does that number mean?
It means that with our million monkeys, you would have to wait
4.6 million times the age of the universe
in order to see "To be or not to be" typed out nicely on a piece of paper. Based on this estimate
, I really wouldn't hold your breath for the complete works of Shakespeare.
unless we could get a billion monkeys! and maybe get rid of those 10 punctuation keys, so lets see that's 37 keys...
Nasa WMAP Mission Results - http://wmap.gsfc.nasa.gov/news/index.html