State                  Bush     Gore     Nader                   Total
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Alaska                 2        1        0                       3
Alabama                5        4        0                       9
Arkansas               3        3        0                       6
Arizona                4        4        0                       8
California             23       29       2                       54
Colorado               4        4        0                       8
Connecticut            3        5        0                       8
District of Columbia   0        3        0                       3
Delaware               1        2        0                       3
Florida                12       12       1                       25
Georgia                7        6        0                       13
Hawaii                 2        2        0                       4
Iowa                   3        4        0                       7
Idaho                  3        1        0                       4
Illinois               9        12       1                       22
Indiana                7        5        0                       12
Kansas                 4        2        0                       6
Kentucky               5        3        0                       8
Louisiana              5        4        0                       9
Massachusetts          4        7        1                       12
Maryland               4        6        0                       10
Maine                  2        2        0                       4
Michigan               9        9        0                       18
Minnesota              5        5        0                       10
Missouri               6        5        0                       11
Mississippi            4        3        0                       7
Montana                2        1        0                       3
North Carolina         8        6        0                       14
North Dakota           2        1        0                       3
Nebraska               3        2        0                       5
New Hampshire          2        2        0                       4
New Jersey             6        9        0                       15
New Mexico             2        3        0                       5
Nevada                 2        2        0                       4
New York               12       20       1                       33
Ohio                   11       10       0                       21
Oklahoma               5        3        0                       8
Oregon                 3        3        1                       7
Pennsylvania           11       12       0                       23
Rhode Island           1        3        0                       4
South Carolina         5        3        0                       8
South Dakota           2        1        0                       3
Tennessee              6        5        0                       11
Texas                  19       12       1                       32
Utah                   4        1        0                       5
Virginia               7        6        0                       13
Vermont                1        2        0                       3
Washington             5        6        0                       11
Wisconsin              5        5        1                       11
West Virginia          3        2        0                       5
Wyoming                2        1        0                       3

Totals                 265      264      9                       538

I'd be interested to hear people's analysis, the only comment I have to make is that it would be harder to launch accusations of "throwing one's vote away," because a single person's vote would no longer have the power to tilt all 54 of California's electoral votes. It also would be easier for third parties to gradually gain support, because they could gain electoral votes each year even without winning a majority of any one state (all but impossible), and therefore have a real metric of their success.

In other words, perhaps this wouldn't have a drastic effect on who wins given any particular set of votes (though it could), but rather on how people would cast their votes in the first place.

(I'm fairly certain I have the math right, I wrote a perl script to do it for me, but let me know if you find any errors).

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