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Purchasing Power Parity
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Thu Nov 30 2000 at 6:19:26
Purchasing Power Parity
(PPP) is an
economic
hypothesis
for
international trade
.
PPP
relies on the
assumption
that there is
free trade
between
countries
, meaning that there are
no barriers
to trade (
tariffs
,
import quotas
, etc.). What PPP tells us is that there is a
predictable relationship
between
product price levels
and
exchange rates
, and in the
long run
, the
relative prices
of a certain
good
or
service
will be the same, after exchange rates are taken into
account
.
This
equilibrium
can be reached either by the prices within each country
adjusting
, or by the exchange rate between the two countries changing, or, most
often
, both. PPP can be used to describe how a
nation
's general price
level
must change to
reestablish
some
desired
exchange rate, given the level and
trend
in
foreign prices
.
There are some general
tendencies
that
Purchasing
Power
Parity
follows:
1. PPP
predicts
well
at the level of
one heavily traded commodity
. PPP focuses on one
particular
product
, which will eventually reach an equilibrium price in the world, fulfilling the "
law of one price
."
2. PPP predicts
only
moderately well
at the level of
all
traded goods. PPP loses
accuracy
as we
introduce
more
and more goods. There are many
technical difficulties
with comparing
index numbers
of different products, especially when we add those that
inevitably
will have differing prices in different countries.
Examples
of this could be those products having
significant
transport
costs or
technology
differences.
3. PPP predicts
least well
at the level of all products in the
economy
. PPP cannot account for
nontraded products
in the economy, thus cannot be a good
predictor
for nation's GDPs or price
indices
for products that account for GDP.
4. PPP predicts better
over the long run
than the
short run
.
5. PPP implies that countries with relatively
low inflation rates
have currencies whose values tend to
appreciate
in the
foreign exchange market
. The
opposite
is also true.
The
equation
for PPP looks somewhat like this:
r
s
= P/P
f
where
r
s
is the exchange rate between two countries and
P
and
P
f
are product prices levels in the
home country
and foreign country,
respectively
.
For
those of you
who
made it
through this without
falling asleep
, I
congratulate
you. I recommend applying to
NYU
's
Stern School of Business
.
printable version
chaos
Standard of Living
A=A
Neighbouring countries with the greatest disparity in wealth
race to the bottom
M3
relative price
PPP
economic
Exchange rate
Stern School of Business
GDP
Parity
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