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    <title>Wntrmute's New Writeups</title>
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    <updated>2009-10-25T20:28:21Z</updated>
<entry><title>October 25, 2009 (idea)</title><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute/writeups/October+25%252C+2009"/><id>http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute/writeups/October+25%252C+2009</id><author><name>Wntrmute</name><uri>http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute</uri></author><published>2009-10-25T20:28:21Z</published><updated>2009-10-25T20:28:21Z</updated>
<content type="html">&lt;small&gt;&lt;em&gt;Some remarks on time on the day the clocks &lt;a href=&quot;/title/GMT&quot;&gt;go back&lt;/a&gt; here in &lt;a href=&quot;/title/Britain&quot;&gt;Britain&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/em&gt;.&lt;/small&gt;

&lt;blockquote&gt;
&amp;lt;&lt;a href=&quot;/title/Dimview&quot;&gt;Dimview&lt;/a&gt;&amp;gt; My time is 23.26. Twenty minutes before midnight. And don't do that crazy weird thing that &lt;a href=&quot;/title/Wntrmute&quot;&gt;Wntrmute&lt;/a&gt; does.
&lt;br&gt;&amp;lt;&lt;a href=&quot;/title/sam512&quot;&gt;sam512&lt;/a&gt;&amp;gt; Last I checked, you were UK time + 1 hour. I'm in the UK and it's 22:37. That makes it 23:37 where you are, which is half eleven, not half midnight.
&lt;br&gt;&amp;lt;Dimview&amp;gt; Saying 'half something' and meaning thirty minutes after the hour. Damned confusing.
&lt;br&gt;&amp;lt;sam512&amp;gt; Oh, wait, you live in one of those countries where &quot;half midnight&quot; means &quot;23:30&quot;...
&lt;br&gt;&amp;lt;sam512&amp;gt; I vaguely remember that from German class.
&lt;p align=&quot;right&quot;&gt;&lt;small&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://ascorbic.net/catbox/archive/2919420/&quot;&gt;from the archive&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;

&lt;p&gt;
Although potentially confusing when organising &lt;a href=&quot;/title/E2+Gatherings&quot;&gt;nodermeets&lt;/a&gt; in Europe, the differing representations of, say, 11:30 are at least understandable: balanced exactly between two hours, it's an arbitrary&amp;hellip;</content>
</entry><entry><title>(in the mist) (how-to)</title><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute/writeups/%2528in+the+mist%2529"/><id>http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute/writeups/%2528in+the+mist%2529</id><author><name>Wntrmute</name><uri>http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute</uri></author><published>2009-08-01T13:40:30Z</published><updated>2009-08-01T13:40:30Z</updated>
<content type="html">&lt;h1&gt; A map of the mist&lt;/h1&gt;
&lt;p&gt;As a &lt;a href=&quot;/title/mathematician&quot;&gt;mathematician&lt;/a&gt; who dabbles in &lt;a href=&quot;/title/graph+theory&quot;&gt;graph theory&lt;/a&gt;, I couldn't help but try and impose some order upon the tangled web of writeups in the mist. &lt;a href=&quot;/title/raincomplex&quot;&gt;raincomplex&lt;/a&gt;'s writeup above provides a schematic of the nodes and the links between them, but to do so without a messy overlap of joining lines each author appears several times. My first thought, then, was whether I could do better, and arrange the nodes into a map of the mist such that no paths crossed.
&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;
I couldn't. But I don't feel too bad about that, since no one else can either! Feeding a &lt;a href=&quot;/title/adjacency+matrix&quot;&gt;matrix representation of the graph&lt;/a&gt; into a suitable &lt;a href=&quot;/title/computer+algebra+system&quot;&gt;computer algebra system&lt;/a&gt; confirmed that it's non-&lt;a href=&quot;/title/planar+graph&quot;&gt;planar&lt;/a&gt;: drawing it on a 2-d &lt;a href=&quot;/title/plane&quot;&gt;plane&lt;/a&gt; inevitably requires crossings. There will be a more exotic &lt;a href=&quot;/title/surface&quot;&gt;surface&lt;/a&gt; upon which it could be drawn in this way (there are non-planar graphs which can be arranged on a &lt;a href=&quot;/title/torus&quot;&gt;torus&lt;/a&gt; without crossings, for instance), but to do so requires determination of what's known as the&amp;hellip;</content>
</entry><entry><title>Rule of succession (idea)</title><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute/writeups/Rule+of+succession"/><id>http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute/writeups/Rule+of+succession</id><author><name>Wntrmute</name><uri>http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute</uri></author><published>2009-05-28T22:07:29Z</published><updated>2009-05-28T22:07:29Z</updated>
<content type="html">&lt;p&gt;There have been two &lt;a href=&quot;/title/London&quot;&gt;London&lt;/a&gt; Park &lt;a href=&quot;/title/E2+gatherings&quot;&gt;Nodermeets&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href=&quot;/title/The+Sensible+Thing&quot;&gt;The Sensible Thing&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href=&quot;/title/Hell+Hath+No+Furry&quot;&gt;Hell Hath No Furry&lt;/a&gt;, and somehow each has produced a noder &lt;a href=&quot;/title/marriage&quot;&gt;marriage&lt;/a&gt;. Next month we're holding another one, and so the question arises, what are the chances of it indeed being &lt;a href=&quot;/title/Three+times+a+charm%252C+a+hat+trick+in+the+park&quot;&gt;three times a charm&lt;/a&gt;?&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;As one of the more mathematically-inclined of the &lt;a href=&quot;/title/Britnoders&quot;&gt;Britnoders&lt;/a&gt;, this question fell to me, but being a typical student I dithered so long that the meet writeup was posted before I'd reached an answer. &lt;a href=&quot;/title/How+to+lie+with+Statistics&quot;&gt;It's&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=&quot;/title/A+mathematician+reads+the+newspaper&quot;&gt;easy&lt;/a&gt; to cook up a dodgy mathematical formula in support of a cause, and that particular flavour of &lt;a href=&quot;/title/bad+science&quot;&gt;bad science&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.badscience.net/2009/01/part-432-in-which-i-get-a-bit-overinterested-and-look-up-waaay-too-many-references/&quot;&gt;seems&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.badscience.net/2007/09/imaginary-numbers/&quot;&gt;fairly&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.badscience.net/2008/08/fame/&quot;&gt;popular&lt;/a&gt; with the media, so I wanted to set things on a vaguely&amp;hellip;</content>
</entry><entry><title>Micromort (idea)</title><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute/writeups/Micromort"/><id>http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute/writeups/Micromort</id><author><name>Wntrmute</name><uri>http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute</uri></author><published>2009-05-16T17:19:42Z</published><updated>2009-05-16T17:19:42Z</updated>
<content type="html">&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;A one-in-a-million chance of dying.&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Reasoning about &lt;a href=&quot;/title/probability&quot;&gt;probability&lt;/a&gt; can be complicated stuff, and from &lt;a href=&quot;/title/false+positives&quot;&gt;false positives&lt;/a&gt; in medical screening to false hopes in &lt;a href=&quot;/title/lottery&quot;&gt;lotteries&lt;/a&gt;, it seems that very &lt;a href=&quot;/title/rare&quot;&gt;rare&lt;/a&gt; outcomes cause particular difficulties. The micromort (&amp;micro;mt), introduced by &lt;a href=&quot;/title/Ronald+A.+Howard&quot;&gt;Ronald A. Howard&lt;/a&gt; in the '80s, provides a handy unit for comparing (and valuing) such &lt;a href=&quot;/title/risk&quot;&gt;risks&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Every day around 50 people in &lt;a href=&quot;/title/England&quot;&gt;England&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href=&quot;/title/Wales&quot;&gt;Wales&lt;/a&gt; die as a result of accidents or violence, which, given the total population, means that &lt;a href=&quot;/title/assuming+Scotland+and+Northern+Ireland+are+not+disproportionately+dangerous&quot;&gt;Brits&lt;/a&gt; face a baseline risk of about a micromort a day. 230 miles by &lt;a href=&quot;/title/car&quot;&gt;car&lt;/a&gt; adds another one- as does just six on a &lt;a href=&quot;/title/motorbike&quot;&gt;motorbike&lt;/a&gt; - whilst air travel introduces about a third of a micromort per flight, which might make you wonder about all the &lt;a href=&quot;/title/security+theatre&quot;&gt;security theatre&lt;/a&gt;. The argument by the chairman of the &lt;a href=&quot;/title/Advisory+Council+on+the+Misuse+of+Drugs&quot;&gt;Advisory Council on the Misuse of Drugs&lt;/a&gt; that &lt;a href=&quot;/title/Ecstasy&quot;&gt;Ecstasy&lt;/a&gt; was no more risky than&amp;hellip;</content>
</entry><entry><title>Seven Wonders of Wales (place)</title><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute/writeups/Seven+Wonders+of+Wales"/><id>http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute/writeups/Seven+Wonders+of+Wales</id><author><name>Wntrmute</name><uri>http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute</uri></author><published>2009-02-17T18:57:31Z</published><updated>2009-02-17T18:57:31Z</updated>
<content type="html">&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Pistyll Rhaeadr and Wrexham steeple,
&lt;br&gt;Snowdon's mountain without its people,
&lt;br&gt;Overton yew trees, St Winefride wells,
&lt;br&gt;Llangollen bridge and Gresford bells. 
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;

&lt;p&gt;This time last month I found myself in a pub in &lt;a href=&quot;/title/Wrexham&quot;&gt;Wrexham&lt;/a&gt; with &lt;a href=&quot;/title/DTal&quot;&gt;DTal&lt;/a&gt; and several of his &lt;a href=&quot;/title/Welsh&quot;&gt;Welsh&lt;/a&gt; friends. Having been outed as &lt;a href=&quot;/title/English&quot;&gt;English&lt;/a&gt;, I felt it best to keep the conversation centred on the merits of &lt;a href=&quot;/title/Wales&quot;&gt;Wales&lt;/a&gt;, and so I came to learn of its seven wonders. Despite my previous ignorance, it turned out that I'd managed to see two of them by accident during my trip: our drinking establishment was a stone's throw from St Giles', and I'd wandered over the Llangollen bridge earlier in the day.&lt;/p&gt;  

&lt;p&gt;In case the rhyme isn't sufficient guidance, the wonders are:&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;The 240ft waterfall &lt;a href=&quot;/title/Pistyll+Rhaedr&quot;&gt;Pistyll Rhaedr&lt;/a&gt;, known as &quot;the hidden pearl of Wales&quot;.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;/title/St+Giles%2527+Church&quot;&gt;St Giles' Church&lt;/a&gt; in Wrexham, or more precisely its 16th century tower (&lt;a href=&quot;/title/spire&quot;&gt;spire&lt;/a&gt;less, so not technically a &lt;a href=&quot;/title/steeple&quot;&gt;steeple&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;/title/Snowdon&quot;&gt;Snowdon&lt;/a&gt;,&lt;/li&gt;&lt;/ul&gt;&amp;hellip;</content>
</entry><entry><title>disemvoweling (idea)</title><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute/writeups/disemvoweling"/><id>http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute/writeups/disemvoweling</id><author><name>Wntrmute</name><uri>http://everything2.com:80/user/Wntrmute</uri></author><published>2008-11-15T17:00:01Z</published><updated>2008-11-15T17:00:01Z</updated>
<content type="html">&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;/title/Disemvoweling&quot;&gt;Disemvoweling&lt;/a&gt; is an online moderation technique intended to discourage &lt;a href=&quot;/title/trolling&quot;&gt;trolling&lt;/a&gt;, by removing all the &lt;a href=&quot;/title/vowel&quot;&gt;vowel&lt;/a&gt;s from posts deemed unsuitable. The &lt;a href=&quot;/title/signal-to-noise+ratio&quot;&gt;signal-to-noise ratio&lt;/a&gt; is thus improved as disemvoweled comments are easily spotted by users and can be skipped over. The same is even more true of simply &lt;a href=&quot;/title/delete&quot;&gt;deleting&lt;/a&gt; posts, but disemvoweling has advantages if there is likely to be disagreement between the userbase and moderators as to what content is appropriate. A disemvoweled comment can still be &lt;a href=&quot;/title/decipher&quot;&gt;deciphered&lt;/a&gt; with effort, which helps establish &lt;a href=&quot;/title/community+standards&quot;&gt;community standards&lt;/a&gt; for what will or won't be accepted; moderations also becomes more &lt;a href=&quot;/title/transparent&quot;&gt;transparent&lt;/a&gt;, and overly zealous admins can be challenged on their decisions. Further, a 'delete-or-keep' approach can give a false impression of respectability, as only acceptable contributions survive the cut; with disemvoweling, persistent trolls will end up with a visible &lt;a href=&quot;/title/track+record&quot;&gt;track record&lt;/a&gt; of their antics.
&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;
The technique was declared one of&amp;hellip;</content>
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